How to simplify complex decisions by cleaving the facts

Engineering leaders often get stuck in decision paralysis when facing complex choices, but this article offers a powerful framework for cutting through uncertainty. By teaching readers to separate upsides from downsides, invest heavily in strengths, and use weaknesses only as veto points, the post provides a practical method for making clearer, more strategic decisions across product development, hiring, and organizational priorities. The key insight is to "base the primary decision on the magnitude and likelihood of the upside" while deliberately simplifying complex choices to their most critical dimensions.